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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Mar 21, 2020 at 8.30am UK
Parramatta Stadium, Parramatta, Sydney
Sydney FC

Western Sydney
1 - 1
Sydney FC

Yeboah (82')
O'Doherty (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
le Fondre (35')
Retre (30')

Preview: Western Sydney Wanderers vs. Sydney FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Western Sydney Wanderers host runaway A-League leaders Sydney FC in the Sydney derby on Saturday.

Steve Corica's side are 10 points clear at the top of the table with two games in hand on second-placed Melbourne City but have lost both of their meetings with Wanderers this season and will be keen to exact revenge.


Match preview

Wanderers are enduring a sub-par season, with just seven wins from their 20 games so far and sitting eighth in the A-League standings, above only Newcastle Jets, Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners.

However, their recent form has been more positive, with just one defeat in their last six league games, including a run of three wins in four outings.

Despite this upsurge in results, Wanderers find themselves 22 points adrift of their local rivals, despite having played an extra game.

Sydney FC have won 15 and lost just two of their 19 A-League games so far this season and look set to run away with the title.

However, both of their two losses have been 1-0 defeats suffered at the hands of local rivals Wanderers, and Corica's men will be keen to avoid a third straight derby defeat.

The league leaders have the best defensive record in the division and are the only side to have conceded fewer than 20 so far, allowing only 15 goals for their opponents.

Corcia's side have been equally efficient at the other end, netting 41 times so far in the league - four clear of the next best side.

Their most recent derby defeat ended a run of six straight league wins, and a 0-0 draw against Perth Glory last time out will not be deemed good enough for a title-chasing side that has become used to higher standards and will be keen to return to winning ways.

Western Sydney Wanderers A-League form: WDWWLD

Sydney FC A-League form: WWWLWD
Sydney FC form (all competitions): LWLDWD


Team News

Caretaker Wanderers boss Jean-Paul de Marigny - who replaced Markus Babbel in January - has only long-term absentees to deal with.

Vedran Janjetovic, Daniel Wilmering and Radoslaw Majewski have all been ruled out for the rest of the campaign with serious injuries.

For Sydney FC head coach Corica, however, there are no injuries to contend with, boasting fully-fit squad to choose from as he seeks to win the Sydney derby at the third time of asking this season.

Western Sydney Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Lopar; Mourdoukoutas, McGowan, Jurman; Russell, Schwegler, O'Doherty, Carluccio; Muller; Duke, Cox

Sydney FC possible starting lineup:
Redmayne; Grant, McGowan, Wilkinson, King; Caceres, Brattan, Retre, Ninkovic; Barbarouses, Le Fondre


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We say: Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 Sydney FC

Sydney FC may be flying high at the top of the table, but Western Sydney Wanderers seem to have their number this season. The league leaders may be motivated enough to avoid a third successive derby defeat, but they could be held to their third draw of the campaign.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.


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