Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax Women win with a probability of 57.72%. A win for Fiorentina Women had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Fiorentina Women win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.