Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 47%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.