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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
1 - 2
Lyon

Chawinga (41')
Karchaoui (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bacha (3'), Dumornay (81')
van de Donk (12'), Carpenter (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-2 Lyon Women

After producing an entertaining first leg, we think that the two sides will conjure up more goals in Sunday's return leg, but with Lyon renowned for their success in this competition, we think that the record winners will hold PSG to a draw and seal their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
37.2% (-0.704 -0.7) 24.14% (0.424 0.42) 38.66% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 60.92% (-1.635 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (-2.108 -2.11)41.57% (2.111 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (-2.166 -2.17)63.97% (2.17 2.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-1.29 -1.29)22.31% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-1.975 -1.98)55.78% (1.978 1.98)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.788 -0.79)21.58% (0.79 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-1.223 -1.22)54.67% (1.227 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 37.2%
    Lyon Women 38.66%
    Draw 24.14%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.407 0.41)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.445 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.084 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.519 0.52)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.66%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 6pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Lyon
3-2
PSG
Diani (80'), Dumornay (85'), Majri (86')
Diani (77'), Bompastor (78')
Katoto (44', 48')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
PSG
1-2
Lyon
Katoto (62')
Hegerberg (14'), Renard (83')
Bacha (48')
Apr 24, 2022 4pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Lyon
3-2
PSG
Renard (23' pen.), Macario (33', 50')
Katoto (6'), Dudek (58' pen.)
Geyoro (13'), Baltimore (35'), Karchaoui (63')
Apr 18, 2021 1pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-2
PSG
Macario (4'), Grace Geyoro (25'), Renard (61' og.)
Morroni (66'), Henry (73'), Bacha (90')
Mar 24, 2021
5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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