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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
1 - 2
Lyon

Chawinga (41')
Karchaoui (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bacha (3'), Dumornay (81')
van de Donk (12'), Carpenter (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain Women

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Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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Lyon Women

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Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-2 Lyon Women

 After producing an entertaining first leg, we think that the two sides will conjure up more goals in Sunday's return leg, but with Lyon renowned for their success in this competition, we think that the record winners will hold PSG to a draw and seal their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
37.2% (-0.704 -0.7) 24.14% (0.424 0.42) 38.66% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 60.92% (-1.635 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (-2.108 -2.11)41.57% (2.111 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (-2.166 -2.17)63.97% (2.17 2.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-1.29 -1.29)22.31% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-1.975 -1.98)55.78% (1.978 1.98)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.788 -0.79)21.58% (0.79 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-1.223 -1.22)54.67% (1.227 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 37.2%
    Lyon Women 38.66%
    Draw 24.14%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.407 0.41)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.445 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.084 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.519 0.52)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.66%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 6pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Lyon
3-2
PSG
Diani (80'), Dumornay (85'), Majri (86')
Diani (77'), Bompastor (78')
Katoto (44', 48')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
PSG
1-2
Lyon
Katoto (62')
Hegerberg (14'), Renard (83')
Bacha (48')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 4pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Lyon
3-2
PSG
Renard (23' pen.), Macario (33', 50')
Katoto (6'), Dudek (58' pen.)
Geyoro (13'), Baltimore (35'), Karchaoui (63')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2021 1pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-2
PSG
Macario (4'), Grace Geyoro (25'), Renard (61' og.)
Morroni (66'), Henry (73'), Bacha (90')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2021
5pm
Quarter-Finals
PSG  
vs.
  Lyon
rhs 2.0
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