MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 14:00:14| >> :600:2769495:2769495:
Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Da Tapadinha

Benfica
1 - 2
Lyon

Faria (43')
Ucheibe (66'), Alves (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cascarino (63'), Dabritz (79')
Bacha (32'), Cascarino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Benfica Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica Women

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Last Game: Benfica 4-4 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Lyon Women

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Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Slavia Prague
Wednesday, January 31 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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We said: Benfica Women 1-2 Lyon Women

 Benfica proved in their 4-4 draw with Barcelona that they can go toe-to-toe with the best teams in Europe, but while that result may inspire confidence among the home squad, we think that they could be edged out by a Lyon side that has won 11 of their 12 away matches this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 67.14%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 16.97% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.55%) and 2-3 (5.57%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (3.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Benfica WomenDrawLyon Women
16.97% (-0.052 -0.05) 15.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 67.14% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Both teams to score 72.99% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.46% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)18.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.98% (0.055 0.05)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)22.85% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.11 -0.11)56.58% (0.11 0.11)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.61%5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.88%21.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Score Analysis
    Benfica Women 16.97%
    Lyon Women 67.14%
    Draw 15.88%
Benfica WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 16.97%
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-1 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15.88%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.52% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-4 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
3-5 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-6 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
0-6 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.14%

How you voted: Benfica vs Lyon

Benfica Women
16.7%
Draw
13.9%
Lyon Women
69.4%
36
rhs 2.0
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