MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:48:54| >> :600:106899:106899:
Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Arsenal Women

Pajor (19'), Jane Jonsdottir (24')
Roord (28'), Oberdorf (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Souza (45'), Blackstenius (69')
McCabe (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Wolfsburg Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Wolfsburg Women 2-1 Arsenal Women

Arsenal will head to Germany without a number of their key players, and after losing four of their last five competitive away games, we think claiming a positive result may prove difficult. Although we think the Gunners will fall to a defeat in the first leg, we expect the deficit to be slender one, which would keep Arsenal in the tie ahead of the home leg on May 1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg WomenDrawArsenal Women
49.53% (-2.018 -2.02) 23.15% (0.519 0.52) 27.31% (1.494 1.49)
Both teams to score 60.09% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-1.186 -1.19)40.79% (1.181 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-1.225 -1.23)63.17% (1.218 1.22)
Wolfsburg Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-1.155 -1.16)16.66% (1.15 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48% (-2.103 -2.1)46.51% (2.099 2.1)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.473 0.47)27.89% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.602 0.6)63.51% (-0.60699999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg Women 49.53%
    Arsenal Women 27.31%
    Draw 23.15%
Wolfsburg WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.247 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.28 0.28)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.389 0.39)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.296 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.146 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.31%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Arsenal Women

Wolfsburg Women
100%
Draw
0.0%
Arsenal Women
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2022 5.45pm
Mar 23, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal Women
1-1
Wolfsburg
Wubben-Moy (89')
Mead (68'), Catley (77')
Wassmuth (19')
Rauch (43'), Popp (57'), Wedemeyer (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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