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Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 28, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
0 - 4
Man City Women

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fowler (62', 75'), Rodgers (77' og.), Greenwood (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Women 0-1 Liverpool Women
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 0-3 Manchester City Women

Man City cruised to a commanding 5-0 win in October's reverse fixture, and we think that they ease to another comfortable victory to condemn Bristol City to the second tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.54%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 1.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.67%) and 0-2 (11.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.7%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (0.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawManchester City Women
1.74% (0.019 0.02) 5.72% (0.069 0.07) 92.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 32.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.12% (-0.316 -0.32)23.88% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.56% (-0.422 -0.42)43.44% (0.421 0.42)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.62% (-0.125 -0.13)66.38% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.42% (-0.0529 -0.05)93.58% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.23% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)2.77% (0.0541 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.29% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)12.71% (0.194 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 1.74%
    Manchester City Women 92.53%
    Draw 5.72%
Bristol City WomenDrawManchester City Women
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 1.74%
1-1 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.84% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 5.72%
0-3 @ 14.13% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 12.67%
0-2 @ 11.82% (0.12 0.12)
0-5 @ 9.09% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-6 @ 5.43% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 5.19% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.029 0.03)
1-5 @ 3.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-7 @ 2.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-6 @ 2.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-8 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-7 @ 1.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 92.53%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 3
Man City Women
5-0
Bristol Women
Roord (9', 45+2'), Aleixandri (33'), Shaw (38', 45+6')

Rodgers (48')
Mar 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Women
0-3
Man City Women
Weir (12'), White (30'), Mewis (89')
Stanway (76')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Man City Women
8-1
Bristol Women
Baggaley (9' og.), Coombs (39'), Walsh (42'), Bronze (43'), Stanway (48'), White (58', 85'), Beckie (81')
Salmon (11')
Feb 12, 2020 7pm
Nov 24, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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