Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.54%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 1.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.67%) and 0-2 (11.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.7%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (0.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.