Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.94%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.03%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
