MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 20:12:54| >> :60:1150:1150:
South Africa national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2023 at 8am UK
Westpac Stadium

S. Africa Women
3 - 2
Italy Women

Orsi (32' og.), Magaia (67'), Kgatlana (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caruso (11' pen., 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between South Africa Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina Women 2-2 S. Africa Women
Friday, July 28 at 1am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Italy Women
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: South Africa Women 1-2 Italy Women

Italy will have to pick themselves up from the disappointment of Friday's heavy defeat to Sweden, while South Africa will still be frustrated with giving up a two-goal lead against Argentina. South Africa know that only a win will do, but we think that they will be edged out by the Italians, who are looking to reach the knockout rounds at consecutive World Cups. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
4.06% (0.0981 0.1) 8.9% (0.185 0.19) 87.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.81% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51)25.19% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.84% (-0.663 -0.66)45.16% (0.667 0.67)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)53.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)86.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.22% (-0.119 -0.12)3.78% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.83% (-0.401 -0.4)16.17% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    South Africa Women 4.06%
    Italy Women 87.03%
    Draw 8.9%
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.27% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.06%
1-1 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.01% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.9%
0-3 @ 11.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 9.62% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.153 0.15)
0-5 @ 6.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-6 @ 3.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
1-6 @ 2.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 87.03%

How you voted: S. Africa Women vs Italy Women

South Africa Women
30.2%
Draw
13.2%
Italy Women
56.6%
53
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool17133140172342
2Arsenal18106235161936
3Chelsea18105338211735
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Brentford187383232024
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1813141137-266


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