World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2021 at 9pm UK

Bolivia
1 - 0
Peru

Vaca (83')
Villarroel (2'), Jusino (24'), Justiniano (74')
Vaca (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzales (42'), Cartagena (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolivia	Draw	Peru
35.87%	24.54%	39.59%

Both teams to score 59.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4%

43.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.01%

65.99%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84%

58.16%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99%

22.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67%

55.33%

Score Analysis

Bolivia 35.87%

Peru 39.59%

Draw 24.54%

Bolivia	Draw	Peru
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.05% Total : 35.87%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.59%