World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 8, 2021 at 2am UK

Peru
2 - 0
Chile

Cueva (36'), Pena (64')
Trauco (39'), Callens (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maripan (42'), Vegas (62'), Medel (72'), Pulgar (72'), Isla (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 35.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 32.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-2 (6.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (14.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Chile
32.2%	32.41%	35.4%

Both teams to score 36.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.07%

71.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.56%

88.44%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59%

41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44%

77.55%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35%

38.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61%

75.39%

Score Analysis

Peru 32.19%

Chile 35.39%

Draw 32.4%

Peru	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 6.3% 2-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.19%	0-0 @ 15.84% 1-1 @ 13.43% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.4%	0-1 @ 15.06% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.59% Total : 35.39%