World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Nov 13, 2021 at 2.05am UK

BMO Field

Canada
1 - 0
Costa Rica

David (57')
Laryea (18'), Vitoria (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennette (24'), Blanco (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Canada and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Canada in this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Costa Rica
58.38%	26.53%	15.09%

Both teams to score 34.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.99%

66.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.41%

84.59%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88%

23.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02%

56.98%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.94%

55.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.08%

87.92%

Score Analysis

Canada 58.37%

Costa Rica 15.09%

Draw 26.52%

Canada	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 18.64% 2-0 @ 13.65% 2-1 @ 8.15% 3-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.98% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.37%	0-0 @ 12.72% 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.25% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 2.27% Other @ 1.91% Total : 15.09%