World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 2.05am UK
BMO Field
Canada1 - 0Costa Rica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Canada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 58.38% | 26.53% | 15.09% |
| Both teams to score 34.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
