World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 9, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Canada3 - 0El Salvador
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vidal Larin Hernandez (33')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | El Salvador |
| 58.45% | 22.23% | 19.33% |
| Both teams to score 53.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
