World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 14, 2021 at 12am UK
USA2 - 1Costa Rica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 50.3% | 30.15% | 19.54% |
| Both teams to score 33.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
