World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Oct 14, 2021 at 12am UK

USA
2 - 1
Costa Rica

Dest (25'), Moreira (66' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fuller (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Costa Rica
50.3%	30.15%	19.54%

Both teams to score 33.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.97%

71.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.11%

87.88%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77%

65.23%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.63%

52.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.75%

86.24%

Score Analysis

USA 50.3%

Costa Rica 19.54%

Draw 30.15%

USA	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 18.83% 2-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 7.48% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 0.99% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.22% Total : 50.3%	0-0 @ 15.32% 1-1 @ 12.18% 2-2 @ 2.42% Other @ 0.23% Total : 30.15%	0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.54%