World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 2.40am UK
Mexico1 - 1Canada
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Canada had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Canada |
| 61.32% | 24.07% | 14.61% |
| Both teams to score 39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
