We say: Madagascar 0-1 Tunisia
After two underwhelming performances against Comoros last month, Tunisia have brought in a new manager in Yaacoubi, who has wasted no time in shaking up the squad, and we feel that this new-look side should be able to get the job done against an opponent that are still winless in the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tunisia win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw has a probability of 26.1% and a win for Madagascar has a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Madagascar win it is 1-0 (7.71%).