Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 83.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 4.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.19) 
