Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Orlando Stadium
CAR0 - 1Gabon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lesotho 1-0 CAR
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Central African Republic 0-1 Gabon
Goals have been few and far between for CAR over the last couple of matches, and we cannot see them stopping their attacking slump against Gabon. We are backing the away side to eke out a win and celebrate AFCON qualification at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gabon in this match.
Result | ||
Central African Republic | Draw | Gabon |
47.26% ( 0.92) | 25.34% ( 0.12) | 27.4% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 52.86% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% ( -1.1) | 50.35% ( 1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% ( -0.98) | 72.29% ( 0.99) |
Central African Republic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( -0.05) | 21.32% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( -0.07) | 54.27% ( 0.08) |
Gabon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% ( -1.37) | 32.82% ( 1.37) |