Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Faroe Islands in this match.
