Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
