World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Iceland1 - 1Armenia
Bergmann Johannesson (77')
Mar Saevarsson (69'), Freyr Skulason (90+2'), Bergmann Johannesson (90+3')
Mar Saevarsson (69'), Freyr Skulason (90+2'), Bergmann Johannesson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Armenia |
| 40.82% | 26.02% | 33.16% |
| Both teams to score 53.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
