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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Las Palmas

Villarreal
3 - 1
Las Palmas

Pepe (45'), Barry (84'), Baena (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (47')
Suarez (29'), Horkas (50'), Silva (52'), Januzaj (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga

Las Palmas

All competitions
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Las Palmas

 Las Palmas enjoyed their meetings with Villarreal last season, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result on Monday night. Villarreal have made a strong start to the campaign, and the Yellow Submarine should win this without any major drama. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
48.82% (2.056 2.06) 24.08% (-0.219 -0.22) 27.11% (-1.839 -1.84)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)45.15% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.232 -0.23)67.5% (0.229 0.23)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.738 0.74)18.59% (-0.74 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (1.227 1.23)49.87% (-1.229 -1.23)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-1.462 -1.46)30.32% (1.46 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-1.778 -1.78)66.5% (1.777 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 48.82%
    Las Palmas 27.11%
    Draw 24.07%
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.315 0.32)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.347 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.139 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.186 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.326 -0.33)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.11%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Las Palmas

Villarreal
83.7%
Draw
11.6%
Las Palmas
4.7%
172
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Las Palmas
3-0
Villarreal
Rodriguez (8', 63'), Herzog (51')
Suarez (15'), Munoz (16'), Herzog (34'), Cardona (43')

Altimira (1'), Baena (19'), Bailly (39')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
1-2
Las Palmas
Moreno (90+2')
Pino (45+1'), Parejo (68'), Capoue (90+10'), Akhomach (90+6')
Coco (45+2'), Cardona (51' pen.)
Park (68'), Rodriguez (72'), Kaba (90+5'), Cardona (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-2
Villarreal

Navarro (61')
Galvez (90')
Bacca (67'), Sansone (90' pen.)
Costa (17')
Oct 22, 2017 11am
Villarreal
4-0
Las Palmas
Bakambu (48'), Gaspar (65'), Navarro (67' og.), Sansone (90')
Ruiz (30')

Lemos (24'), Gomez (40'), Navarro (73'), Viera (75'), Macedo (86')
Mar 17, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
1-0
Villarreal
Boateng (10')
Viera (70'), Lemos (74')

Musacchio (23'), Costa (76')
Ruiz (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87012591621
2Real Madrid85301761118
3Villarreal85211715217
4Atletico MadridAtletico8440124816
5Athletic Bilbao8422128414
6Mallorca842286214
7Osasuna84221213-114
8Real BetisBetis833287112
9Rayo Vallecano824298110
10Celta Vigo83141515010
11AlavesAlaves83141112-110
12GironaGirona8233911-29
13Sevilla8233810-29
14Real Sociedad822467-18
15Getafe814356-17
16Leganes814359-47
17Espanyol8215712-57
18Valencia8125513-85
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas8035916-73
> La Liga Full Table


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