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Serie A
Parma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Cagliari logo

Parma
2 - 3
Cagliari

Man (62'), Hernani (87' pen.)
Bernabe (25'), Coulibaly (48'), Haj Mohamed (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zortea (34'), Marin (75'), Piccoli (87')
Obert (53'), Piccoli (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Parma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 Parma
Saturday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese
Tuesday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Parma 2-1 Cagliari

 A meeting between the team that attempted the most shots after five matchdays (Cagliari, 85) and the side that conceded more attempts than any other (Parma, 93) surely cannot end goalless. Both home advantage and a sharper cutting edge should tip the balance in Parma's favour, leaving their visitors still searching for an elusive Serie A success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawCagliari
44.96% (-0.116 -0.12) 25.3% (-0.073 -0.07) 29.74% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.399 0.4)48.86% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.362 0.36)70.96% (-0.366 -0.37)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.11500000000001 0.12)21.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.174 0.17)54.9% (-0.178 -0.18)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.336 0.34)30.31% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.4 0.4)66.49% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Parma 44.96%
    Cagliari 29.74%
    Draw 25.3%
ParmaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Parma vs Cagliari

Parma
72.9%
Draw
20.0%
Cagliari
7.1%
155
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')
Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')
> Preview
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
3-2
Parma
Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')
Apr 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Cagliari
4-3
Parma
Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')
Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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