Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for South Korea had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a South Korea win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.