World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Iran1 - 0Iraq
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tariq (12'), Natiq (47')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Iraq |
| 55.8% | 23.3% | 20.89% |
| Both teams to score 52.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
