Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Syria had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iran in this match.