Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Iraq win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Iran |
| 33.77% | 25.03% | 41.2% |
| Both teams to score 57.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% | 46.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.46% | 68.54% |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% | 22.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.12% | 55.88% |
| Score Analysis |
Iraq 33.77%
Iran 41.2%
Draw 25.03%
| Iraq | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.2% |
How you voted: Iraq vs Iran
Iraq
23.0%Draw
12.6%Iran
64.4%87
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2021 5.30pm
