Nations League | League A
Sep 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Austria1 - 3Croatia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: France 2-0 Austria
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | France | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria | 5 | -2 | 4 |
We said: Austria 0-2 Croatia
With two integral cogs in Alaba and Arnautovic potentially sitting this one out - or thrown into the action when not fully fit - the writing may be on the wall for an Austria side already lacking in confidence. Croatia may have been humbled by Das Team only three months ago, but the Chequered Ones have upped their defensive game and should seal a spot in the Finals while simultaneously condemning Austria to life back in League B. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Croatia |
42.22% ( 0.12) | 24.73% ( -0.11) | 33.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
