World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Nov 17, 2021 at 2.05am UK
BMO Field
Canada2 - 1Mexico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Mexico |
| 46.59% | 24.21% | 29.19% |
| Both teams to score 57.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% | 66.77% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% | 19.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.12% | 50.87% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Score Analysis |
Canada 46.59%
Mexico 29.19%
Draw 24.21%
| Canada | Draw | Mexico |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-1 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.19% |
How you voted: Canada vs Mexico
Canada
54.0%Draw
15.9%Mexico
30.1%113
