The Canadians have not beaten La H in Honduras since 1985, and while playing without Davies will be tough, not having Eustaquio is arguably even more significant, as the man currently on loan at FC Porto has done a marvellous job of managing games for this team.
Honduras have played better with their new manager, but it seems as though father time has got the better of this group, and with the warm climate in Central America, it could be a difficult match for the game breakers of each unit to show their quality.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
