World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 25, 2022 at 2.05am UK

Costa Rica
1 - 0
Canada

Borges (45+1')
Venegas (35'), Matarrita (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kaye (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

Last Six:

Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Martinique
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Martinique vs. Costa Rica
Friday, March 24 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

Last Six:

Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Next Game: Canada vs. Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Costa Rica 0-1 Canada

The Canadians look like a team of destiny, and although they have benefitted from their share of goalkeeping blunders in the Octagon, this group always appear comfortable and composed, even without Alphonso Davies. Costa Rica have done well to fight their way back into the qualifying picture, but as solid as they are defensively, it is hard to imagine this veteran group being capable of staying with the speedy and youthful Canadians for an entire match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Canada
33.99%	25.84%	40.17%

Both teams to score 54.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.26%

49.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25%

71.74%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07%

27.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44%

63.55%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13%

58.86%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 33.99%

Canada 40.17%

Draw 25.83%

Costa Rica	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.99%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.17%