World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 4, 2021 at 5pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
1 - 1
Azerbaijan

Duffy (87')
Molumby (56'), Browne (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mahmudov (45+1')
Krivotsyuk (67'), Mahmudov (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Republic of Ireland and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Azerbaijan
48.42%	24.6%	26.98%

Both teams to score 54.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.48%

47.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.27%

69.73%

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32%

19.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.33%

51.67%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35%

31.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94%

68.06%

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 48.42%

Azerbaijan 26.98%

Draw 24.59%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.42%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.98%