World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
Rwanda0 - 2Nigeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Rwanda 1-1 Nigeria
Despite Nigeria's ambition to avoid the ignominy of consecutive World Cup absences, this iteration has thus far flattered to deceive despite the presence of Osimhen and Lookman. Facing a defensively solid home side, the Super Eagles, who have scored just one goal in each of their four games, may have to settle for a point in Kigali. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
39.36% ( -0.12) | 30.62% ( -0.04) | 30.02% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 39.81% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.5% ( 0.16) | 67.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.4% ( 0.1) | 85.6% ( -0.1) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( 0.01) | 33.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.83% ( 0.01) | 70.18% ( -0.01) |
| Nigeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.22) | 40.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.25% ( 0.2) | 76.75% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Rwanda 39.36%
Nigeria 30.01%
Draw 30.62%
| Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.36% | 0-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.62% | 0-1 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 30.01% |
How you voted: Rwanda vs Nigeria
Rwanda
24.1%Draw
13.0%Nigeria
63.0%54
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2024 4pm
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Jan 15, 2018 7.30pm
