MX23RW : Friday, March 21 16:33:26| >> :120:12335:12335:
Rwanda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Amahoro
Nigeria national football team

Rwanda
0 - 1
Nigeria

LIVE
30'
Osimhen (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Rwanda and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Rwanda 1-1 Nigeria

Despite Nigeria's ambition to avoid the ignominy of consecutive World Cup absences, this iteration has thus far flattered to deceive despite the presence of Osimhen and Lookman. Facing a defensively solid home side, the Super Eagles, who have scored just one goal in each of their four games, may have to settle for a point in Kigali. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rwanda win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Nigeria has a probability of 30.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Nigeria win it is 0-1 (12.28%).

Result
RwandaDrawNigeria
39.36% (-0.112 -0.11) 30.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 30.02% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 39.81% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.5% (0.157 0.16)67.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.4% (0.104 0.1)85.6% (-0.104 -0.1)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (0.015999999999991 0.02)33.54% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (0.015999999999998 0.02)70.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (0.215 0.22)40.11% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (0.197 0.2)76.75% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 39.36%
    Nigeria 30.01%
    Draw 30.62%
RwandaDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 14.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.36%
0-0 @ 13.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.62%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Nigeria

Rwanda
24.1%
Draw
13.0%
Nigeria
63.0%
54
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2024 4pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
1-2
Rwanda
Chukwueze (59')
Ange (72'), Nshutiyamagara (75')
Bizimana (25'), Mugisha (29'), Nshutiyamagara (90')
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-0
Nigeria
Niyomugabo (26'), Bizimana (28')
Chukwueze (26'), Aina (45+3')
Jan 15, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
0-0
Rwanda
Mukunzi (32'), Djihad (93')
rhs 2.0
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