
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Amahoro

Rwanda0 - 1Nigeria
LIVE
30'
30'
Osimhen (11')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We say: Rwanda 1-1 Nigeria
Despite Nigeria's ambition to avoid the ignominy of consecutive World Cup absences, this iteration has thus far flattered to deceive despite the presence of Osimhen and Lookman. Facing a defensively solid home side, the Super Eagles, who have scored just one goal in each of their four games, may have to settle for a point in Kigali. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rwanda win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Nigeria has a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Nigeria win it is 0-1 (12.28%).
Result | ||
Rwanda | Draw | Nigeria |
39.36% (![]() | 30.62% (![]() | 30.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.5% (![]() | 67.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.4% (![]() | 85.6% (![]() |
Rwanda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.47% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.83% (![]() | 70.18% (![]() |
Nigeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.89% (![]() | 40.11% (![]() |