World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 9pm UK
Warner Park Football Stadium
Saint Kitts1 - 0Bahamas
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Bahamas.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahamas 1-7 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Bahamas |
76.56% ( 0.45) | 14.68% ( 0.01) | 8.76% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( -2.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
