MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 19:45:11| >> :600:6816368:6816368:
Bahamas national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 8, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
FIFA Technical Centre Butwal
Trinidad and Tobago national football team

Bahamas
1 - 7
Trin. & Tob.

Julmis (87')
Bartova Cartwright (12')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Shaw (6', 66'), Jones (14' pen.), Muckette (43', 45'), Moore (56'), James (84')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Bahamas and Trinidad and Tobago.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Puerto Rico 6-1 Bahamas
Wednesday, November 22 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-2 Grenada
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Bahamas win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.

Result
BahamasDrawTrinidad and Tobago
15.14% (0.083 0.08) 19.04% (0.575 0.57) 65.82% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 55.21% (-1.951 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (-2.61 -2.61)38.26% (2.61 2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.46% (-2.827 -2.83)60.54% (2.827 2.83)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (-1.55 -1.55)38.07% (1.549 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (-1.526 -1.53)74.83% (1.527 1.53)
Trinidad and Tobago Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.895 -0.89)10.85% (0.895 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.06% (-2.023 -2.02)34.94% (2.022 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 15.14%
    Trinidad and Tobago 65.82%
    Draw 19.04%
BahamasDrawTrinidad and Tobago
2-1 @ 4.28% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.99% (0.326 0.33)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.14%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.494 0.49)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.04%
0-2 @ 10.18% (0.505 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.786 0.79)
0-3 @ 7.54% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 7.29% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-4 @ 4.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.05% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-5 @ 1.86% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 65.82%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 8pm
League B
Bahamas
0-3
Trin. & Tob.
Moses (5'), Jones (26'), Telfer (34')
Jun 7, 2022 1am
League A
Trin. & Tob.
1-0
Bahamas
Goddard (68')
Davis (34'), Julmis (45+1')
Jun 5, 2021 10pm
First Round
Bahamas
0-0
Trin. & Tob.
Russell (28'), Julmis (89')
Powder (72')
rhs 2.0
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