World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Jan 27, 2022 at 5.15pm UK

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Oman

Albirakan (48')
Al-Shahrani (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Al Alawi (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Oman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman

Despite the difference in positions, this should prove to be a competitive fixture. Nevertheless, while we expect Oman to raise their level with the stakes so high, Saudi Arabia's superior quality should shine through in the crucial moments. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Oman had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Oman
37.92%	24.45%	37.63%

Both teams to score 59.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94%

43.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54%

65.46%

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39%

22.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78%

56.22%

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24%

22.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.55%

56.45%

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 37.92%

Oman 37.63%

Draw 24.45%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Oman
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.92%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.63%