World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Sierra Leone2 - 1Djibouti
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morocco 3-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Liberia 0-0 Djibouti
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Sierra Leone 1-0 Djibouti
Despite Wednesday's fixture being held at a neutral venue (Morocco), Sierra Leone simply have far too many more match-winners than Djibouti, even if most of them do not play in Europe's major leagues, giving the Leone Stars the edge in the round three encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sierra Leone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Djibouti |
66.55% ( -2.11) | 19.24% ( 0.78) | 14.2% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
