World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Ethiopia
0 - 0
Sierra Leone

Yalew (38'), Tesfaye (74'), Kumsa (74')

Kargbo (35')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ethiopia and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Last Game: Somalia 0-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

We said: Ethiopia 2-1 Sierra Leone

Still licking their wounds from a poor AFCON qualifying campaign, Ethiopia and Sierra Leone will head into Wednesday in search of a morale-boosting result. Keister's men have lost four of their last five away matches across all competitions and we fancy them to struggle at the Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 39.42%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 29.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Sierra Leone
39.42% ( -0)	30.6% ( -0)	29.97% ( 0)

Both teams to score 39.83% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.54% (

67.46% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.42% (

85.58% (

-0)

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52% (

33.48% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89% (

-0)

70.11%

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.88% (

40.12% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.24% (

76.76% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 39.42%

Sierra Leone 29.96%

Draw 30.6%

Ethiopia	Draw	Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.35% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.42%	0-0 @ 13.43% 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.6%	0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.38% Total : 29.96%