Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.