World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay2 - 0Brazil
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's South American World Cup qualification clash between Uruguay and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualifier with Uruguay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Uruguay
Thursday, October 12 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, October 12 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Venezuela
Friday, October 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, October 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Uruguay 1-2 Brazil
This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, especially as both sides will be looking to return to winning ways. Uruguay are certainly capable of claiming a positive result on Tuesday, but we just have a feeling that Brazil will be able to navigate their way to an important three points here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Brazil |
40.54% ( -0.68) | 28.36% ( 0.23) | 31.09% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% ( -0.69) | 60.18% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.62% ( -0.53) | 80.38% ( 0.53) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.72) | 29.1% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.89) | 65.02% ( 0.89) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% ( -0.03) | 35.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.03% ( -0.04) | 71.97% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Uruguay 40.53%
Brazil 31.09%
Draw 28.35%
| Uruguay | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 31.09% |
How you voted: Uruguay vs Brazil
Uruguay
13.5%Draw
22.5%Brazil
64.0%89
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-1
Uruguay
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Jun 26, 2013 8pm
Jul 16, 1950 7pm
Form Guide
