Friendlies 1
Jun 15, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay4 - 1Nicaragua
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Korea 1-2 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
We said: Uruguay 3-0 Nicaragua
While this is certainly not the Uruguay squad that we are used to seeing in recent years, La Celeste should still have too much quality in their ranks for the visitors, particularly with an anticipated boost following Bielsa's appointment. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 9.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.63%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Nicaragua |
71.77% ( -0.02) | 18.73% ( 0.01) | 9.5% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.79% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
