World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Colombia2 - 2Uruguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Colombia
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Colombia 1-1 Uruguay
While Uruguay arguably boast slightly more quality throughout their squad, Thursday certainly presents a tough test against a Colombia team who also have momentum from a fine run, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome in Barranquilla. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.25%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Uruguay |
65.51% ( 1.11) | 22.04% ( -0.26) | 12.45% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 39.01% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( -0.71) | 56.25% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( -0.58) | 77.29% ( 0.58) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( 0.13) | 16.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.24) | 46.36% ( -0.24) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.76% ( -1.85) | 53.24% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.19% ( -1.2) | 86.8% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Colombia 65.51%
Uruguay 12.45%
Draw 22.04%
| Colombia | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 15.86% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.16% Total : 65.51% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.45% |
How you voted: Colombia vs Uruguay
Colombia
41.3%Draw
31.3%Uruguay
27.5%80
