MX23RW : Monday, December 23 14:54:23| >> :60:244:244:
AFC Champions League | Final | 1st Leg
Apr 29, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
King Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
1 - 1
Urawa

FT(HT: 1-0)
Koroki (53')
Ito (85'), Iwao (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Hilal and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Al-Duhail 0-7 Al-Hilal
Sunday, February 26 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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We said: Al-Hilal 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds

Al-Hilal are the big favourites to claim a first-leg advantage, and we are expecting the Saudi Arabian side to triumph on Saturday. Urawa Red Diamonds need to stay in the contest ahead of the second leg, but they could have a mountain to climb in the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
45.03% (-2.006 -2.01) 25.28% (0.179 0.18) 29.69% (1.829 1.83)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.613 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.252 0.25)48.82% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (0.23 0.23)70.92% (-0.227 -0.23)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (-0.78699999999999 -0.79)21.68% (0.789 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (-1.219 -1.22)54.82% (1.222 1.22)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (1.47 1.47)30.32% (-1.468 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (1.719 1.72)66.5% (-1.717 -1.72)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 45.02%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 29.69%
    Draw 25.28%
Al-HilalDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.46 -0.46)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.233 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.326 0.33)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.318 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.133 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.69%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Urawa

Al-Hilal
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Urawa Red Diamonds
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2019 10am
Final
Urawa
0-2
Al-Hilal

Sekine (43'), Aoki (53'), Iwanami (57'), Makino (76')
Al Dawsari (74'), Gomis (93')
Nov 9, 2019 4.30pm
Final
Al-Hilal
1-0
Urawa
Carrillo (60')
Albulayhi (38')
rhs 2.0
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