We said: Angola 2-1 Niger
Angola are currently firing on all cylinders and will look to maintain their fine run of results against a Niger side who set out in search of their first win of the qualifiers.
Despite being the underdogs, the Mena did well to secure a point against Ghana last time out, but we predict that they will struggle at the Estadio 11 de Novembro this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.11%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.