World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 6am UK
PNG Football Stadium
P. New Guinea3 - 3Fiji
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Papua New Guinea and Fiji.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Caledonia 3-1 P. New Guinea
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Papua New Guinea | Draw | Fiji |
15.94% ( 1.26) | 19.94% ( 0.8) | 64.12% ( -2.07) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% ( -1.1) | 40.82% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( -1.14) | 63.21% ( 1.14) |
Papua New Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% ( 0.97) | 38.63% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.63% ( 0.91) | 75.37% ( -0.91) |
Fiji Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% ( -0.88) | 12.05% ( 0.88) |