P. New Guinea

3 - 3

Fiji

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.