World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 3am UK
PNG Football Stadium
Solomon Islands2 - 3New Caledonia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Solomon Islands and New Caledonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Next Game: P. New Guinea vs. Solomon Islands
Sunday, November 17 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Sunday, November 17 at 6am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Caledonia 3-1 P. New Guinea
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Next Game: Fiji vs. New Caledonia
Sunday, November 17 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Sunday, November 17 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Caledonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | New Caledonia |
17.06% ( -1.75) | 21.86% ( -0.69) | 61.08% ( 2.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
