MX23RW : Monday, November 4 10:47:55| >> :600:359087:359087:
Liberia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Equatorial Guinea national football team

Liberia
1 - 2
Eq Guinea

Gibson (53')
Roosevelt Teah (33'), Balde (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nlavo (20'), Junior Hanza Meha (90+4')
Akapo (41'), Bikoro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Liberia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Liberia 0-0 Equatorial Guinea

Liberia have struggled offensively recently, failing to score in their last two matches, but we believe that they have sufficient defensive solidity to hold an Equatorial Guinea side that failed to register a shot on target in open play last Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 36.24%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 31.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.35%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
LiberiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
36.24% (0.419 0.42) 32.05% (0.182 0.18) 31.71% (-0.601 -0.6)
Both teams to score 36.92% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.92% (-0.522 -0.52)71.07% (0.521 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.09% (-0.326 -0.33)87.91% (0.32600000000001 0.33)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)37.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (-0.012 -0.01)74.34% (0.012 0.01)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (-0.769 -0.77)40.87% (0.769 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (-0.694 -0.69)77.44% (0.69499999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 36.24%
    Equatorial Guinea 31.7%
    Draw 32.05%
LiberiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 15.03% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.24%
0-0 @ 15.35% (0.3 0.3)
1-1 @ 13.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 32.05%
0-1 @ 13.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.7%

How you voted: Liberia vs Eq Guinea

Liberia
47.8%
Draw
43.5%
Equatorial Guinea
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Eq Guinea
1-0
Liberia
Salvador (34' pen.)

Ernest (64')
Nov 20, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Liberia
0-1
Eq Guinea

Kenneh (27')
Kenneh (45')
Nsue (9')
Miranda (38'), Salvador (52'), Owono (80')
rhs 2.0
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