We said: Madagascar 2-1 Comoros
Madagascar put up a commendable performance against a top-tier team in their last match, demonstrating their significant growth as a team, and with a strong home record against Comoros, including a victory against them in June, we believe that the hosts are capable of securing another win against their visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.