Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Sao Tome1 - 1South Sudan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Namibia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Sao Tome & Principe 0-1 South Sudan
Sao Tome & Principe are coming into this match off the back of five consecutive defeats, during which time they failed to score a single goal while conceding 15. South Sudan have made it to the group-stage qualifiers in their last five attempts and are in decent form, having only lost once in their last three matches in all competitions. We feel the Bright Stars will win this match, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | South Sudan |
31.83% ( 0.05) | 26.33% ( 0.08) | 41.83% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
