MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 01:11:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 25, 2025 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
3 - 0
Gimnasia

Suarez (34' pen.), Luna (75'), Acevedo (90+5')
Alarcon (60'), Roffo (67'), Godoy (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mastrangelo (33'), Garayalde (50'), Suso (53'), Castro (59'), Panaro (72'), Melluso (81')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 1-3 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, December 14 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, December 15 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (13.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawGimnasia
35.34% (2.161 2.16) 30.35% (0.929 0.93) 34.31% (-3.089 -3.09)
Both teams to score 41.23% (-2.333 -2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.83% (-2.842 -2.84)66.17% (2.842 2.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.3% (-1.995 -2)84.7% (1.995 2)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)35.43% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.19% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86% (-3.577 -3.58)36.14% (3.577 3.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (-3.823 -3.82)72.93% (3.824 3.82)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 35.34%
    Gimnasia 34.31%
    Draw 30.34%
InstitutoDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 13.28% (1.31 1.31)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.677 0.68)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 35.34%
1-1 @ 13.52% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 12.8% (1.28 1.28)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.344 -0.34)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.34%
0-1 @ 13.03% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.654 -0.65)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.623 -0.62)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.483 -0.48)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2024 12.15am
Gameweek 4
Instituto
2-1
Gimnasia
Rodriguez (29'), Rodriguez (81')
Acevedo (40'), Perez (71'), Rodriguez (85'), Bay (90+1')
Abaldo (5')
Cabral (73'), Morales (77')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 8
Gimnasia
1-3
Instituto
Dominguez (60')
Saravia (31'), Sanchez (64'), Enrique (68')
Abaldo (43'), Cabral (86')
Suarez (27'), Puebla (67' pen.), Bay (84')
Acevedo (30'), Mainero (90+6')
Oct 8, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 8
Instituto
1-1
Gimnasia
Cuello (47')
Mammini (90+2')
Cabral (70'), Saravia (72'), Tarragona (88'), Mammini (90+2')
Feb 17, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 4
Gimnasia
2-0
Instituto
Contin (5'), Ramirez (55')
rhs 2.0
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